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For instance, the young Republic of Azerbaijan, a majority Shiite Muslim country, has developed solid ties with Europe and the US. It did not fall into the orbit of neighboring Iran, nor has it nurtured a significant home-grown Islamist movement

Неожиданная строчка в статье о Турции.

А вообще - много интересного:

Two major changes in European security identity redlined Turkey as a security player: Since the EU aspired to become a security actor in its own right, NATO's, thus Turkey's, presence in the European safety management has decreased. Secondly, the EU took over the security functions of the Western European Union, where Turkey is Associate Member. This important metamorphose made Turkey in the new European security architecture de facto obsolete. As a matter of fact, the EU Common Security and Defense Policy marginalized Turkey's security role.

Ну и выводы:

The categorical exclusion of Turkey from a European security identity and/or EU accession negotiations would have abrupt and serious consequences. For example, Turkey's withdrawal of its application for EU membership might paralyze the operational functionality of Europe's security architecture - especially if Turkey's unique location and regional relationships are kept in mind. Besides a lack of future cooperation in the case of a crisis in the neighborhood, Turkey might also refuse to share its intelligence data with European terrorism task forces. In addition, it could potentially make use of its veto right to prevent the EU from utilizing certain NATO assets.

Надо добавить - теперь Турция может отстраняться от чисто европейских инициатив типа ливийской - и злорадно наблюдать за тем, как Каддафи гоняет протеже европейцев мухобойкой, ожидая своего часа.

Хотя, конечно, списывать европейцев пока не стоит - в Кот д'Ивуаре горящие любовью к какао демократии французы добили-таки Гбагбо. Подложили свинью местным католикам, так сказать.